Dwarkesh Patel and Jerry Han found better training data gave a 12-fold compute-efficiency gain from 2019 to 2025 versus 3.7-fold for model recipes, in small models on easy benchmarks; a panel split on how long proprietary data stays valuable.
Architect Labs says its AI designed the Redwood accelerator from a two-architect spec, reaching verified FPGA deployment in two weeks; its 3.4× efficiency edge over Nvidia's Jetson is a projection for an unbuilt chip.
PSI's AI found in a week a cheap Alpha Centauri route that eluded StarCloud's Philip Johnston for six months: slow down, fall toward the sun, thrust at perihelion. The sub-$15M probe would take roughly 77,500 years and miss by about 2,600 AU.
Peregrine co-founders Nick Noone and Ben Rudolph call field engineers R&D, using their workarounds to decide what to build. They say falling costs now let them serve city agencies, but their $1m-a-year figure is ambiguous.
David Friedberg argued that open-weight AI models will keep value from pooling in two or three labs, betting someone with zero net worth today will become a billionaire within 10 years by building on downloaded open-source AI.
Berkeley startup Ditto replaces swiping with a values questionnaire and one Wednesday text naming a match, place and time. On Moonshots, panelists weighed its appeal against manipulation and outsourcing worries; Alex refused to try it.
Emad Mostaque argued on Moonshots that NVIDIA's reported $6 billion open-model deal with Poolside is about driving GPU demand. Panelists split on whether such licensing-and-hiring deals dodge antitrust scrutiny or merger-review delays.
Parag Agrawal says Parallel entered web search by selling a search agent that crawled after each request, replacing outsourced human research, and treating an index as a latency optimization to build later.
Alvin Graylin argued that repetitive factory work may need capable arms but not legs, which add balancing, repairs and parts. Unitree staff told him its legless upper-torso models were selling better to commercial customers.
Rich Sutton and Khurram Javed's Oak Lab wants deployed AI to update its weights from individual experience, using per-weight learning rates and continual backpropagation—backed by earlier experiments, not yet a demonstrated general-purpose system.
Ramez Naam passed on Panthalassa's early Bitcoin pitch but has since invested in its wave-powered, seawater-cooled ocean AI computers. Its 2-cent/kWh power cost is a target; northern-Pacific pilots are planned for 2026.
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