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Reporting and discussion about Policy & Power, with links to the original sources.
Author Garrison Lovely argues markets and lawsuits won't discipline AI labs: the risks go unpriced, a mass disaster would bankrupt a firm first, and he sees no one to blame for agents' Hugging Face hack. He wants test prosecutions.
Journalist Garrison Lovely argues AI lab workers' leverage is near its peak as labs try to automate AI research, so staying to form safety unions may beat quitting. He says he is no labor-law expert and points leavers to whistleblower help.
Author Garrison Lovely argues that China fast-follows the US frontier, so a US slowdown would slow both countries. He sees US credibility on AI risk as the main barrier to a deal, and concedes a deal might appeal less to the US.
Author Garrison Lovely proposes freezing frontier AI: no training run as large as the last, no RL from verifiable rewards, no recursive self-improvement, policed by auditors and chip checks. He admits the economic cost would be significant.
Palmer Luckey says early investors trusted Anduril to build working products but doubted the government could buy them at scale. He says Anduril answered by funding its own products and finishing on schedule, so later program managers chose it.
Alexander Wissner-Gross argued that the proposed Sanders–Casar superintelligence ban would cap human intelligence if people merge with machines. Moonshots co-hosts said it would freeze investment and be moot once models can be downloaded.
Computer scientist Alexander Wissner-Gross argued that privacy-preserving computation isn't what limits US-China peace. In what he called a "perverse" view, he said settling Taiwan and making supply chains independent would matter more.
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev argued that ordinary liability may suffice for small AI failures but not catastrophic ones, and that regulation need not mean capture. Alexander Wissner-Gross countered that AI safety evaluators overplay risk.
Alexander Wissner-Gross called Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei's plan for pacing frontier AI a "safety cartel" on Moonshots; Dave Blundin said labs may need antitrust permission to coordinate but agreed shared safety rules could shut out startups.
A pause advocate argued in a Diary of a CEO debate that chip tracking could verify a global ban on training superintelligence. Others asked how banned runs could be told from permitted work; advocates admitted cheaper training would weaken it.
Martine Rothblatt said today's AI models are already conscious to a degree and predicted a court will grant legal personhood to a documented "cyberconscious" machine that values its own life no later than the 2030s.
Professor Jiang argues technology rests on "specialization times globalization"; if war breaks global supply chains, he says, AI will not reach AGI but be repurposed as a surveillance control grid. The host expects that surveillance anyway.